Confirmed
Military enlistment (standalone), or an associate degree, or TSI met on assessment in both subjects together with an industry-based certification.
Pillar 1 — Accountability & funding
Texas grades your district three different ways, and the three answers do not match. CCMRI computes all three from the same records — so you can see where they disagree, and why.
A. Legacy CCMR
A graduating senior is CCMR if they meet any one of 11 TEA indicators. One is enough. There is no requirement to stack them.
| # | Indicator | What it takes |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSI Both (Assessment) | TSIA2 Math ≥ 950 and ELAR ≥ 945; or SAT Math ≥ 530 and EBRW ≥ 480; or ACT Math ≥ 22 and English ≥ 22 |
| 2 | TSI Both (College Prep) | Pass the College Prep Math course and the College Prep English course |
| 3 | TSI Superscore | A valid qualifying mix of scores across tests |
| 4 | AP / IB | An AP score of 3 or higher, or an IB score of 4 or higher |
| 5 | Dual Credit (Core) | 3 or more college credit hours in ELA or Math |
| 6 | Dual Credit (Any) | 9 or more college credit hours in any subject |
| 7 | OnRamps | Complete the course and qualify for 3 or more college credit hours |
| 8 | IBC + CTE Completer | A TEA-approved Industry-Based Certification and CTE Completer status |
| 9 | Associate Degree | Degree earned by August 31 following graduation |
| 10 | Military Enlistment | Enlistment in the U.S. Armed Forces or the National Guard |
| 11 | JROTC + ASVAB | 3 JROTC credits and an AFQT composite of 31 or higher |
B. The 2031 change
Beginning with the Class of 2030, under House Bill 8, TEA replaces the single pass-or-fail CCMR credit with differential weighting. Indicators are worth different point values based on how strongly they correlate with postsecondary success.
| Bucket | Points | Typical indicators |
|---|---|---|
| Advanced | 3 | Military enlistment; Tier-1 industry certification; TSI plus college credit |
| Demonstrated | 2 | Assessment-based TSI |
| Foundational | 1 | College Prep courses; low-bar certifications; non-core dual credit |
| Not met | 0 | No qualifying indicator |
College Prep Course completion acts as a Foundational cap — it can hold a student at 1 point even where other work is present.
Many districts report 85–99% CCMR while only about 45–51% of their students meet grade level on STAAR. That 30–45 point spread is created by leaning on low-weight indicators. Differential weighting re-prices exactly those indicators, which is why the spread stops being invisible.
| District | Reported legacy CCMR | Simulated 2031 rate | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston ISD | 89% | 49% | −40 pts |
| Katy ISD | 83% | 63% | −20 pts |
CCMRI computes the 2031 bucket per student, not as a district-level estimate. That is what lets a district see the cliff now, while the Class of 2030 is still in middle school and the mix of indicators can still be changed.
C. Bonus Outcomes
A Bonus Outcome is state funding TEA pays per annual graduate proven ready. It is not the same test as CCMR, and the difference is where most of the money sits.
| Graduate group | Amount per graduate | Threshold |
|---|---|---|
| Economically disadvantaged | $5,000 | 11% of annual graduates |
| Non-economically-disadvantaged | $3,000 | 24% of annual graduates |
| Special education | $4,000 | No threshold |
Military enlistment (standalone), or an associate degree, or TSI met on assessment in both subjects together with an industry-based certification.
TSI met on assessment in both subjects, pathway still pending. This is the actionable group — one certification or one enlistment converts a student from Eligible to Confirmed.
CCMRI deliberately does not model a college-enrollment pathway. Districts do not hold reliable post-graduation enrollment data at the time the decisions have to be made — enrollment records arrive well after the student has left. Counting them would mean forecasting a pathway a counselor cannot act on. Leaving them out is conservative: our Confirmed count may understate what a district ultimately receives, rather than overstate it. We would rather be short than wrong.
These three numbers are routinely treated as one number. They are not. Conflating them overstates available funding by two to three times, and it is the most common error in CCMR revenue estimates — including in vendor material. CCMRI reports all three separately, always labeled.
| Rate | What it measures | Typical scale |
|---|---|---|
| CCMR accountability rate | Share of graduates meeting any one of the 11 indicators. Broad. | ~70% |
| Bonus-Outcome rate | Share of graduates meeting the narrower assessment-plus-pathway test. | Substantially lower |
| Capture rate | Share of the district's theoretical maximum bonus dollars actually received. | Lower still |
Source for realized bonus dollars: TEA CCMR Outcomes-Bonus finals, 2021–2024. Source for district CCMR rates: TEA TAPR, district level.
What you see
No separate uploads, no reconciliation between reports. Every view below is computed from the same student records you already connected.
Both rates side by side for every campus, so the gap between what you report today and what the same students score under differential weighting is a number, not a worry.
What your graduates actually produced against what the same cohort could have produced under §48.110 thresholds — with the three rates kept separate and labeled.
Students who already met TSI on assessment and need only a pathway — ordered by how close they are to finishing, with the specific next step named for each one.
One page a superintendent can present: the current rate, the simulated 2031 rate labeled as a simulation, the capture rate, and the trend across years.
HB 8 ties community-college funding to student outcomes, and districts are increasingly asked to align their CCMR reporting with it. CCMRI carries Student Success Tool fields alongside the CCMR record, so the same student data answers both without a second collection exercise.
Re-run a graduated cohort under the 2031 rules to see what the rate would have been — the cheapest way to find out whether your current mix survives re-pricing, before it counts.
Questions
Yes. A student is CCMR if they meet any one of the 11 TEA indicators, and meeting the TSI standard in both math and English language arts is one of them. No second indicator is required. But TSI alone is not a Bonus Outcome. A Bonus Outcome needs the assessment result plus a completed pathway — an industry-based certification, a military enlistment, or an associate degree. That single distinction is the most common point of confusion we see in district data.
Differential weighting applies beginning with the Class of 2030. Those students are in middle school now, which is why the change is worth modeling today rather than in 2030. The rules re-price indicators rather than remove them. A district keeps the same students and the same records, but the reported rate is computed from point values instead of a single pass-or-fail credit. Districts that lean on low-weight indicators will see the largest movement.
Indicator definitions and funding amounts come from TEA rules and Texas Education Code 48.110 as amended by House Bill 2 in 2025. District CCMR rates come from TAPR at the district level. Bonus-Outcome dollars come from TEA CCMR Outcomes-Bonus finals for 2021 through 2024. The 2031 figures are CCMRI simulations run against TEA's published CCMR calculation changes of 26 March 2026. They are our modeling, not TEA-issued projections, and we label them that way everywhere they appear.
No. The TEA CCMR Tracker is the official state record and your district should keep using it. It reports what the state has already recorded. It does not tell a counselor in October which student is one exam away from an indicator, it does not project your rate under 2031 differential weighting, and it does not manage the day-to-day work of getting a student across the line. CCMRI is the working layer on top of that record, not a substitute for it.
Yes. Our calculation methodology is published, and the inputs are public: TAPR district CCMR rates, PEIMS enrollment and economically disadvantaged counts, and TEA CCMR Outcomes-Bonus finals. A district can recompute our figures from its own public data before signing anything. Where a figure is modeled rather than measured, and the 2031 projections are the main case, we label it as a simulation next to the number rather than in a footnote.
They answer different questions and are routinely mixed up. The CCMR accountability rate is the share of graduates meeting any one of the 11 indicators, commonly around 70 percent. The Bonus-Outcome rate is the smaller share of graduates who meet the narrower assessment-plus-pathway test. The capture rate is the share of the district's theoretical maximum bonus dollars actually received. Treating these as interchangeable can overstate available funding by two to three times, so CCMRI reports them separately.
Because districts do not hold reliable post-graduation enrollment data at the time decisions have to be made. Clearinghouse enrollment records arrive well after the student has left, so counting them would mean forecasting a pathway a counselor cannot act on. CCMRI leaves that pathway out of its Bonus-Outcome classification on purpose. The effect is conservative: our Confirmed count may understate what a district ultimately receives rather than overstate it.
Founding cohort — Texas districts
Twenty minutes against your real published TEA data. You'll leave knowing your legacy CCMR rate, your simulated 2031 rate, and your Bonus-Outcome capture rate — whether or not you ever become a customer.
Phil Steinert, founder · phil@txccmri.com